The Big Sky Poll

The University of Montana Big Sky Poll collects and reports information about Montanans' perceptions of local, state, and federal issues. The poll is directed by Dr. Sara Rinfret, Associate Professor and Director of the Master of Public Administration Program, and Dr. Justin Angle, Associate Professor of Marketing and Warren and Betsy Wilcox Faculty Fellow.

Summer 2020 Poll

The UM Big Sky Poll online survey was conducted from June 17 – June 26, 2020 with 517 registered Montana voters. The margin of error (MOE) is +/- 4.31 at a 95 percent confidence level. Survey results were weighted by geography, gender, and education level to more accurately reflect demographics of the registered voter population in Montana. Due to rounding, totals may not equal 100 percent.

Spring 2020 Poll

The UM Big Sky Poll’s online survey was conducted from February 12-22, 2020, with 498 likely Montana voters. The margin of error (MOE) is +/- 4.39 at the 95 percent confidence level. Survey results were weighted by geography and gender to more accurately reflect demographics of the registered voter population in Montana. Due to rounding, totals may not equal 100 percent.

Fall 2019 Poll

The Fall 2019 UM Big Sky Poll online survey was conducted from September 26 – October 3, 2019 with 303 registered Montana voters. The margin of error (MOE) is +/- 5.63 at a 95 percent confidence level. Survey results were weighted by geography and gender to more accurately reflect demographics of the registered voter population in Montana.

Spring 2019 Poll

The Spring 2019 UM Big Sky Poll online survey was conducted from February 21 – March 1, 2019 with 293 registered Montana voters. The margin of error (MOE) is +/- 5.72 at a 95 percent confidence level. Survey results were weighted by geography and gender to more accurately reflect demographics of the registered voter population in Montana.

Fall 2018 Poll

The Fall 2018 UM Big Sky Poll telephone survey was conducted from August 13-31, 2018 with 618 registered Montana voters. The margin of error (MOE) is +/-4 at a 95 percent confidence level. Survey results were weighted by geography and gender to more accurately reflect demographics of the registered voter population in Montana. Questions for the U.S. Congressional races and the 6-mill levy reflect likely Montana voters. The margin of error for questions asked of likely voters is +/-4.5 at a 95 percent confidence level with the same weighting as the rest of the document.

Spring 2018 Poll

The Spring 2018 UM Big Sky Poll telephone survey was conducted from February 1-19, 2018 with 603 registered Montana voters. Survey results are valid with a margin of error (MOE) of +/-4 at a 95 percent confidence level. Survey results were weighted by geography and gender to more accurately reflect demographics of the registered voter population in Montana.